Preface xi.
Forecasting, Classification, and Dimensionality.
Reduction.
Synergies.
The Interface Problems.
Plan of the Book.
Econometric Foundations.
What Are Neural Networks?
Linear Regression Model.
GARCH NonlinearModels.
Model Typology.
What Is A Neural Network?
Feedforward Networks.
Neural Network Smooth-Transition Regime Switching.
Models.
Nonlinear Principal Components: Intrinsic.
Dimensionality.
Neural Networks and Discrete Choice.
The Black Box Criticism and Data Mining.
Estimation of a Network with Evolutionary Computation.
Data Preprocessing.
The Nonlinear Estimation Problem.
Repeated Estimation and ThickModels.
MatLAB Examples: Numerical Optimization and.
Network Performance.
Numerical Optimization.
Evaluation of Network Estimation.
n-Sample Criteria.
Out-of-Sample Criteria.
nterpretive Criteria and Significance of Results.
mplementation Strategy.
Applications and Examples.
Estimating and Forecasting with Artificial Data.
ntroduction.
Stochastic ChaosModel.
Stochastic Volatility/Jump Diffusion Model.
TheMarkov Regime SwitchingModel.
olatality Regime SwitchingModel.
Distorted Long-MemoryModel.
Black-Sholes Option Pricing Model: Implied Volatility.
Forecasting.
Times Series: Examples from Industry and Finance.
Forecasting Production in the Automotive Industry.
Corporate Bonds: Which Factors Determine the.
Spreads.
Contents ix.
Inflation and Deflation: Hong Kong and Japan.
Hong Kong.
Japan.
Classification: Credit Card Default and Bank Failures.
Credit Card Risk.
Banking Intervention.
Dimensionality Reduction and Implied Volatility.
Forecasting.
Hong Kong.
United States.
The Data.